BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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William & Mary
Class: 1B Class Rank: 116 Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength = 99.07
Conference: Patriot League Record: (1-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-28-2026 Away W * * 117.41 35 32 1B 80 (3-4) Villanova 16.51 -7.80 -13.51
2 09-05-2026 Home W * 112.91 22 15 1B 74 (4-3) Delaware St 12.01 9.59 -5.01
3 09-12-2026 Away L * * 106.45 20 44 1B 19 (6-1) Lehigh 5.55 * -13.63 -29.55
4 09-19-2026 Home L * * 79.41 27 52 1B 97 (2-6) Fordham -21.49 11.81 -3.51
5 09-26-2026 Away L 104.51 7 62 1A 46 (4-2) Duke 3.61 * -48.96 -58.61
6 10-03-2026 Home L * * 79.64 14 41 1B 83 (2-5) Holy Cross -21.26 2.15 -5.74
7 10-10-2026 Away W * 105.96 17 14 1B 115 (2-5) North Carolina Centr 5.06 -11.60 -2.06
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 89 (2-4) Georgetown DC -6.62
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 33 (4-3) Colgate -27.61
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 106 (2-4) Lafayette -3.15
11 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 117 (1-6) Bucknell 3.97
12 11/21/2026 Away * * 1B 70 (5-2) Richmond -17.48
Averages 100.90 20.3 37.1
Best game: 117.41 = 3 point win over Villanova
Worst game: 79.41 = 25 point loss to Fordham
Team stdev: 15.28